Source: WRF d03 (3 km, convection-permitting) — init 2026-09-21 02:00 SAST (2026-09-21 00:00 UTC) (20260921_00z). Times shown are SAST.
Next 24h at a glance: STORM RAIN WIND HI WBGT THI FROST SPRAY FIRE SCHED
Storm/lightning-proxy risk (CAPE + graupel flux + reflectivity + hail)
No elevated risk expected this window; no adjustment needed.
Demonstration product; not an official warning service.
No elevated risk expected this window; no adjustment needed.
Demonstration product; not an official warning service.
Hourly rainfall rate
No elevated risk expected this window; no adjustment needed.
Demonstration product; not an official warning service.
No elevated risk expected this window; no adjustment needed.
Demonstration product; not an official warning service.
10 m wind gust
No elevated risk expected this window; no adjustment needed.
Demonstration product; not an official warning service.
No elevated risk expected this window; no adjustment needed.
Demonstration product; not an official warning service.
Hours per day with damaging wind:
| Date (SAST) | Hours >=strong breeze | Hours >=gale |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep | 0 | 0 |
NWS apparent-temperature (temp + humidity, public-facing heat metric)
Warm conditions near 14:00 SAST; stay hydrated if outdoors.
Demonstration product; not an official warning service.
Simplified outdoor Wet Bulb Globe Temperature
Moderate heat load expected (peak WBGT approx 23 degC around 16:00 SAST). Athletes not yet used to these conditions should ease into full-intensity outdoor sessions and keep fluids available; a short acclimatization block is worth considering if this pattern continues.
Demonstration product; not an official warning service.
Temperature-Humidity Index
Moderate heat load near 13:00 SAST for all species; check water access.
Demonstration product; not an official warning service.
Species breakdown (peak THI ~72 over next 24h): Cattle: Caution Sheep: OK Goats: OK Pigs: Caution Poultry: OK
2 m temperature + radiative-cooling conditions
No elevated risk expected this window; no adjustment needed.
Demonstration product; not an official warning service.
Hours per night below each frost threshold:
| Date (SAST) | Hours <2C | Hours <0C | Hours <-2C |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rain-free + workable wind for agrochemical application
No safe spray window in this period; rain or high wind expected through 11:00 SAST.
Demonstration product; not an official warning service.
Fire-weather proxy: low humidity + wind + within-window dry spell.
Elevated fire risk near 14:00 SAST; check any planned burning against this window.
Demonstration product; not an official warning service.
Elevated fire risk near 14:00 SAST.
Demonstration product; not an official warning service.
Combines Irrigation Need + Evaporative Demand into one recommendation. Based only on model-simulated, rain-driven soil moisture, not on any irrigation already applied.