WRF Southern Africa Forecast System

North-West University -- operational research forecast · init 2026-08-23 06:00 UTC, GFS 06Z cycle · 72h forecast · cycle 20260823_06z · updated daily

A three-domain, two-way nested WRF-ARW forecast: an outer 18 km domain spanning Southern Africa provides lateral boundary forcing only; a 9 km domain covers South Africa, Lesotho and Eswatini; and a 3 km, convection-permitting nest covers North West province and Gauteng. Initialized daily from NCEP GFS. This is a research forecast for demonstration and planning support -- SAWS is the only body authorized to issue official weather warnings in South Africa.

For additional or custom WRF forecasts, contact Dr Henno Havenga, henno.havenga@nwu.ac.za.

DomainResolutionGridExtentCoverage
d01 (outer)18 km 279x2190.4-49.6E, 5.4-40.3SLateral boundary forcing only -- not published
d029 km 214x20015.9-34.8E, 21.2-36.5SSouth Africa, Lesotho, Eswatini
d03 (nest in d02)3 km 246x15622.0-29.2E, 24.1-28.2SNorth West + Gauteng, convection-permitting
Model configuration
Dynamical coreWRF-ARW v4.8.0, non-hydrostatic
MicrophysicsThompson (mp_physics=6)
CumulusKain-Fritsch (d01/d02) -- OFF on d03 (3 km, convection resolved explicitly)
Longwave / shortwave radiationRRTMG (ra_lw_physics=3 / ra_sw_physics=3)
Planetary boundary layerYSU (bl_pbl_physics=1)
Surface layerRevised MM5 Monin-Obukhov (sf_sfclay_physics=1)
Land surfaceUnified Noah LSM (sf_surface_physics=2), 4 soil layers
Boundary/initial conditionsNCEP GFS 0.25deg, 3-hourly

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